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Logo of telegram channel bearmageddon — Bearmageddon - Install from Telaviv.org B
Logo of telegram channel bearmageddon — Bearmageddon - Install from Telaviv.org
Channel address: @bearmageddon
Categories: News , Adult content (18+)
Language: English
Subscribers: 984
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Chronicles of the 2020/21 global economic crash. Powered by Corona.
We give news and opinions, not financial advice.

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The latest Messages 12

23 Jun 2021
47 views16:57
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23 Jun 2021
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-23/denmark-s-top-central-banker-warns-of-a-2008-style-housing-bust
38 views14:30
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23 Jun 2021
https://wolfstreet.com/2021/06/21/most-important-measure-of-the-feds-economy-my-per-household-wealth-effect-monitor-for-q1-based-on-fed-data/
59 views13:34
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23 Jun 2021
79 views13:26
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23 Jun 2021
Of course most gamblers in 2008 didn't get bailed out, they got margined out. Only the people who actually created the entire financial disaster got bailed out.

And now everyone is betting it will happen again.

Because they believe in the "system".

And I am saying, that's a bad bet this time.

This time around someone with deep pockets agrees with me. If 2008 is any guide, it's Wall Street themselves buying this protection. Just as they did in late 2008 flipping from the Big Long, to the Big Short, using credit default swaps, just in time for subprime meltdown.

Betting their own muppet clients are about to get wiped out by fraud and criminality.

Is this a great fucking system, or what?
70 views13:04
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23 Jun 2021
Cyclicals on the other hand are looking very Lehman-esque these days.

One example is PNC Financial which made an overthrow high in 2008 as well. It turned out to be a bull trap, since the Fed was preoccupied with fighting rising inflation expectations deja vu of today.

It turns out that those propagating inflation theories back in 2008 were wholesale idiots, just as they are now. But unfortunately, this society doesn't trust anyone who can be trusted.
68 views13:03
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23 Jun 2021
69 views12:59
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23 Jun 2021
Whoever was making massive options bets last week around the FOMC meeting has continued their bets this week. Option skew measures "Black Swan" market risk as imputed from deep out of the money options.

Of course, most of today's pundits would say this is a meaningless signal with questionable accuracy. They are ignoring the fact that it worked well albeit not immediately in 2018 and again in 2020, -20% and -35% S&P declines respectively. However, these recent skew readings have been literally off the charts. The top of the skew range is supposed to be 150, whereas these current readings have been between 150 and 160. The past four weeks now has nine of the ten largest skew readings in the past 30 years. So what if instead of being a meaningless signal, these readings were telling us that the big money believes this is the end of the super cycle. What if these readings were predicting an epic collapse of biblical proportions?

We know one thing for certain, they would be assiduously ignored. The other thing we know is that ALL of today's pundits now ignoring this signal will claim that no one saw it coming.

Top ten skew values since 1990 (data begin):
66 views12:59
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23 Jun 2021
https://zensecondlife.blogspot.com/2021/06/too-big-to-bail.html
81 views12:56
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23 Jun 2021
why you don't see people having USD or EUR or GBP hating each other?
Because fiat is a medium of exchange, is not a cult.
69 views12:36
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23 Jun 2021
there is nothing more ridiculous than cultists of the God bitcoin against the cultists of the God doge.
Both them are wrong, but they hate each other because they don't worship (which means they don't give their useless 100$) the same God.
70 viewsedited  12:35
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23 Jun 2021
78 views12:15
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23 Jun 2021
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/this-chart-setup-suggests-bitcoin-will-crash-to-single-digit-thousands-fund-manager-says-11624444271?mod=home-page
87 views12:10
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23 Jun 2021
reminder that if you didn't manage to save at least 100k before 30 years old you are probably a loser
91 views11:32
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23 Jun 2021
Daily reminder to never take financial advice from people that have dogs in their profile pictures
89 viewsedited  11:31
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23 Jun 2021
Daily reminder to never take financial advice from people that have dogs in their profile pictures
54 views11:31
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23 Jun 2021
Now there is only one thing left to do and that is to confirm it all.

And if it does not get confirmed, we can always wait for an extreme panic towards levels like 20-25k, and if that happens, I'll sell everything I own and go all in.
95 views09:10
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23 Jun 2021
Not to brag but... I think the analysis over the last few weeks has been pretty spot on.
91 views09:10
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23 Jun 2021
And that would confirm exactly that we indeed entered the final capitulation phase there.
90 views09:10
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23 Jun 2021
https://twitter.com/Bitfinexed/status/1407400511783976961
58 views02:20
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23 Jun 2021
https://twitter.com/Bitfinexed/status/1407415248664076295
59 views02:20
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23 Jun 2021
https://twitter.com/Bitfinexed/status/1407517352732803076
61 views02:19
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23 Jun 2021
https://doomberg.substack.com/p/golden-deception-the-feds-balance
60 views02:19
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23 Jun 2021
https://twitter.com/Bitfinexed/status/1407522074860609537
51 views02:15
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23 Jun 2021
https://twitter.com/Tr0llyTr0llFace/status/1407320808075272202
51 views02:14
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23 Jun 2021
50 views02:13
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23 Jun 2021
49 views02:12
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23 Jun 2021
history repeats
16 views02:04
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