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The latest Messages

2026-01-08 18:12:59 EURUSD Technical Analysis – H1 EUR/USD continues to trade below the descending trendline and is currently ranging between the defined supply and demand zones. Key Levels: Key Resistance: 1.17450 Current Price: 1.16947 Key Support: 1.16750 Bullish…

573 views15:12

2026-01-08 18:02:36 GBPUSD Technical Analysis – H1 Following the recent sharp rally, the pound has entered a short-term corrective phase and is now oscillating in a sensitive zone between key support and resistance levels. Key Levels: Key Resistance: 1.35300 Current Price:…

539 views15:02

2025-12-09 12:35:23 Highlights from BoJ Governor Ueda’s Remarks

Ueda said Japan’s economy is on a path of “modest recovery,” although signs of weakness remain.

Economic growth for the rest of the year is expected to be mild and limited.

The Bank of Japan attributes this limited growth to the impact of global trade conditions, which have weighed on external demand and reduced corporate profits.

If the economy and inflation evolve in line with the BoJ’s forecasts, the central bank will continue moving toward further rate hikes.

Ueda emphasized that Japan’s inflation is highly sensitive to currency fluctuations, and BoJ policy decisions will continue to reflect that dependence.

@xchief_global

27 views09:35

2025-12-08 19:29:32 Weekly Forex Analysis | December 8

This file covers:
The main market narratives and their impact on currencies
Key events on this week’s economic calendar and likely scenarios
Outlooks for major currencies and USD crosses with potential price levels

By reading this report, you’ll get a clear view of the broader market direction, followed by a structured outlook for each currency supported by economic charts.

To access the full analysis, download and view the PDF file.

@xchief_global

45 views16:29

2025-11-17 11:50:35 EURUSD Technical Analysis – H1 A break below the ascending trendline could lead to a price decline. Key Levels: Main Resistance: 1.1615 Current Price: 1.1598 Support Zone: 1.1590 Bullish Scenario: A price consolidation above 1.1615 could pave the…

21 views08:50

2025-11-16 15:53:51 Weekly Crypto Analysis | November 16

A look at three key angles to better understand the market:

Macro: Inflation data and the U.S. government shutdown

Sentiment: How traders are reacting in a highly volatile environment

On-chain: Whale activity and options market signals

To access the full analysis, download and view the PDF file.

#WeeklyOutlook #Crypto #Bitcoin

@xchief_global

50 views12:53

2025-10-02 15:07:37 Bitcoin Mining Difficulty Hits Record High Bitcoin’s hashrate has climbed, pushing mining difficulty to 150.84T, a development that has reduced miners’ profitability. The trend is adding further pressure on miners, reflecting intense competition on…

1.18K views12:07

2025-09-18 23:28:58 Trading Psychology Audio:

Stay disciplined in profit, stay unemotional at a loss.

Topics Covered:
Why traders become risk-averse in profit
Why they take on too much risk at a loss
How the amygdala and limbic system influence decisions
Practical ways to manage emotional bias

Profit and loss are two sides of the same coin; treat them the same.

#TradingPsychology
#RiskManagement

@xchief_global

1.17K views20:28

2025-09-05 14:16:22 #GOLD - H1 On the 1-hour chart, a break above minor resistance around 3572 could push gold toward 3600. Stop-Loss: 3542 On the flip side, a break below 3542 could signal a short with a target near 3515. Stop-Loss: 3572 @xchief_global

648 views11:16

2025-09-05 11:46:29 #EURUSD - H1 On the 1-hour chart, a break above resistance around 1.1686 could push the price toward 1.1720. Stop-Loss: 1.1660 Conversely, a break below 1.1660 could signal a short with a target near 1.1630. Stop-Loss: 1.1686 @xchief_global

132 views08:46

2025-09-04 18:28:12 US ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (August)

Actual: 52
Forecast: 51
Previous: 50.1

Employment Component: 46.5 (Forecast: 46.5)
New Orders Component: 56 (Forecast: 51.1)
Prices Component: 69.2 (Forecast: 69.5)

The ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI for August reached 52.0, above the forecast of 51, marking the strongest growth in the services sector in six months. Expansion in business activity (55.0) and new orders (56.0) were the main drivers behind this improvement. On the other hand, employment contracted (46.5), and prices remained elevated (69.2), keeping concerns alive. Overall, while demand shows positive signals, inflationary pressures and weak employment continue to create a mixed outlook.

@xchief_global

29 views15:28

2025-08-22 18:06:50 Powell’s Dovish Turn Powell’s comments show the Fed is increasingly concerned about the labor market, with downside risks on the rise and labor supply falling short of demand. He stressed that, given the changing risk balance, a policy adjustment could…

33 views15:06

2025-08-22 12:32:21 #EURUSD – H1 On the 1-hour chart, a break below support at 1.1578 could push the pair down toward 1.1540. Stop-Loss: 1.1615 Conversely, a break above 1.1615 could open the way for a move up to 1.1660. Stop-Loss: 1.1578 @xchief_global

24 views09:32

2025-07-24 17:18:03 S&P Global US PMI – July Services: 55.2 (stronger than expected 53) Manufacturing: 49.5 (weaker than expected 52.5) Composite: 54.6 (up from 52.9) Analysis: The services sector accelerated sharply, while manufacturing dipped below…

34 views14:18

2025-07-24 15:41:11 ECB Monetary Policy Statement – July Incoming data confirms the inflation outlook: domestic price pressures are easing, and wage growth is slowing. The euro area economy has shown resilience to global headwinds, partly due to the effects of previous…

19 views12:41

2025-07-24 15:34:04 European Central Bank Interest Rate (ECB)

Actual: 2.15%
Forecast: 2.15%
Previous: 2.15%

Analysis:
As expected, the European Central Bank held interest rates steady at 2.15%. This decision comes amid signs of gradually easing inflation pressures in the eurozone. The unchanged rate reflects the ECB's cautious stance in balancing weakening inflation with the region’s sluggish economic growth.

@xchief_global

21 views12:34

2024-10-16 17:04:00 #worldnews #ECB #Fed
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ECB: the regulator will not go against the market
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The deposit rate cut has turned from an opportunity into a necessity, so we can only discuss the size of the correction. After the Fed's sharp moves, the 50bp trick may well be repeated in Europe.
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After the previous ECB meeting, new negative factors have emerged in the Eurozone economy. Business activity hints at a slowdown in GDP dynamics. The German government predicts a recession in 2024, with inflation falling to 1.8%. The specter of deflation and negative rates, which dropped the euro to parity with the dollar ten years ago, is roaming Europe.
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History could repeat itself if U.S. inflation accelerates after Trump takes office. Then, the Fed will be forced to pause the cycle of monetary expansion, and the ECB will continue to cut rates.
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Christine Lagarde's speech may support the euro currency: the head of the ECB may say that in December, the regulator will take a pause and keep the rate. Of course, it is unlikely that she will state this openly, but perhaps she will at least give some hints. If the market receives such a signal, the euro can get out of the abyss, at least for a while. However, the gloomy prospects for the European economy have not been canceled.
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There are several potential outcomes for the ECB meeting tomorrow, but all of them could have a negative impact on the market. Even if we consider that major players have decided to close about 50-70% of short positions, EUR/USD is still on a downward trend towards the key zone of 1.08. Reversing this trend will be challenging, but a reversal above 1.10 could shift attention back to the resistance area of 1.12. This could potentially signal the start of a bullish trend in the market.
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Speculation on the publication of the ECB decision and press conference is guaranteed, so let's behave reasonably and not take risks for nothing.
⠀
Profits to y’all!

254 views14:04

2024-10-16 14:46:01 Major options with expiry today:

EUR/USD:
1.0950 – 2.1 bln
1.0955 – 924 mln
1.0975 – 1.3 bln

P.S. Be careful when the price moves to these zones!

xChief
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273 views11:46

2024-10-16 14:08:00 #worldnews #AI #CentralBank
⠀
AI instead of the Central Bank: fake or reality?
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Technically, replacing the monetary regulator with an AI model is entirely possible. Any central bank makes decisions based on economic forecasts, and the accuracy of quantitative estimates and calculations of AI models is much higher than that of standard analysts.
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AI will strictly follow the recommendations of the model, and its decisions are not influenced by emotions, political preferences, career goals, or the original vision of the situation. But you should not count on ideal decisions: The AI algorithm is a “black box,” and it is impossible to explain its logic.
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• Monetary decisions should be structural, accountable, and transparent, first of all, for politicians and the public. Central banks report in parliaments, give press conferences and interviews, publish information in the press, etc. AI will provide orders without any arguments. Trust in such a financial system will be minimal.
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• AI is based on models trained on historical data. But in case of crises or unexpected events (e.g., global pandemics or wars), AI models (there are already facts!) react inadequately to new data.
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• A monetary regulator always acts under uncertainty, where intuition, flexibility, and consideration of social and political aspects are needed. AI is (so far!) alien to everything human, and its rationality is too brutal.
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Today, the Fed, BOE, ECB, Bank of Canada, Monetary Authority of Singapore, and several other institutions actively use AI models. Although this process is not without human participation, the percentage of Homo sapiens' involvement in decision-making is still decreasing. So, a robot Fed or a robot ECB is an authentic future.
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What do you think?
⠀
Profits to y’all!

209 views11:08

2024-09-27 18:09:00 #worldnews #WarrenBuffett #BerkshireHathaway
⠀
Buffett is dumping BAC stock. Grandpa knows something?
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Old Man Warren has long been a fan of bank stocks, but his Berkshire Hathaway fund has sold shares of Bank of America (NYSE: BAC) again. The reasons behind this behavior have yet to be clarified to analysts or investors.
⠀
Since Buffett bought preferred shares of BofA in 2011, these were the primary financial assets (second after Apple, of course!) in the market guru's portfolio. However, in a September 10 report, Berkshire Hathaway said it sold 5.8 million shares of Bank of America in just three sessions (for $230 million), and mid-July, the fund sold BofA securities for about $7.2 billion.
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So what made the difference?
⠀
Buffett hasn't personally commented on the sale, but there are a lot of rumors surrounding the deal. It is speculated that Berkshire is trying to reduce its stake (less than 10%) to avoid reporting its activity in the stock. Buffett also sold Apple stock to hedge against a higher capital gains tax rate, although Washington had never approved that bill.
⠀
Berkshire creates a reserve cash in the forefront of the possible recession. The conglomerate already has a record high cash balance after selling a large portion of its stake in Apple. Finally, it's possible that Warren & Co. no longer see BofA as a sound investment.
⠀
Berkshire's sales don't appear to be motivated by any problems with BofA's business, although it reported mixed results in its July 16 earnings report. However, there are no strong negatives to the holding company's performance, and the Fed rate cut will easily survive.
⠀
Currently, BofA stock looks reasonably secure: the price-to-earnings ratio is 14, and the dividend yield is 2.6%. The consensus price target: the high is $52 (+29.13%), the average is $45.74 (+13.59%), and the low is $40 (-0.67%). The most optimal scenario looks like buying out the drawdown after the price rebounds from $38.50.
⠀
So, we won't be selling BofA stock right now. What do you think?
⠀
Profits to y’all!

1.7K views15:09

2024-09-27 14:08:00 #StockMarket #HMSTRtoken #TON
⠀
HMSTR token: Hamsters lost their debut
⠀
The TON network's Hamster Kombat blockchain game token debuted on several top-tier exchanges but lost 30% of its value in the last 24 hours. Trading on the exchanges began at the same time as the airdrop - the distribution of tokens to users of the clicker game.
⠀
Of the more than 300 million registered users of Hamster Kombat, 131 million players were eligible to receive tokens. Social media is abuzz with complaints about the “unfair strategy” of token distribution, as Hamster Kombat announced that 2.3 million bots and “cheaters” have been disqualified.
⠀
The issue size is 100 billion HMSTR, 75 billion of which will go to community members. 88.75% of tokens players will be able to cash out on the first day of trading, the remaining 11.25% - after ten months.
⠀
HMSTR is available for trading on Binance, OKX, Bybit, Kucoin, Bitmart and other platforms. On the first day of trading, the token showed a range of $0.121319 - $0.008255, the price sentiment forecast is still neutral, and the fear and greed index shows 50. There are currently 64,375,000,000 HMSTR in circulation. Since its introduction on exchanges, HMSTR has shown a trading volume of $366,950,416 - the 134th largest market capitalization in the gaming token ranking.
⠀
TON developers warned of increased load on the blockchain from September 26 to 29. The embedded Telegram Wallet experienced outages, with Binance users unable to create a sell order or even log into an account. The TON blockchain transaction observer and network status display site Tonviewer also stopped functioning, and the technical problems have not yet been resolved.
⠀
The significant drop in HMSTR's value on the first day of trading reflects the unpredictable nature of recently launched cryptocurrency tokens, especially in a favorable growth market. It is still unclear how much token holders will be able to earn and if they will be able to earn.
⠀
So, let's behave sensibly and not take risks for nothing.
⠀
Profits to y’all!

851 views11:08

2024-09-12 17:34:00 #worldnews #StockMarket #Fed
⠀
Will inflation be able to stop the Fed?
⠀
U.S. consumers, who have been suffering from rising prices for the past three years, received another encouraging factor yesterday as core inflation was below 3% for the second month in a row. After a not-the-most-remarkable but generally good report, the market sagged by about 1%.
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In August, US annual inflation was 2.5% vs. 2.9% a month ago – a result in line with the consensus forecast. This is the lowest rate since early 2021, and while it is above the Fed's 2% target, real inflation momentum has slowed considerably.
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U.S. factors have been the dominant drivers for the euro, Japanese yen, and Chinese yuan gains against the dollar over the past few months. Domestic arguments from the Eurozone, Japan, and China have played a minor role. According to Bloomberg forecasts, if the U.S. labor market cools down, these currencies could get fresh support in the coming months.
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The U.S. consumer situation is consistently healthy, especially in the service sector. The swap market indicates that the Fed will start the policy easing cycle with 25 bps, but a 0.50% rate cut cannot be ruled out due to the weak labor market. The final decision may be seriously influenced by the retail sales report on September 17 – if retail sales are outright failures and the stock market falls again, a 0.50% cut is not excluded.
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In any case, the meeting results on September 18 may cause short-term negativity in risky assets for speculators counting on this outcome.
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So, analyze all data carefully, behave reasonably, and do not take risks for nothing.
⠀
Profits to y’all!

1.6K views14:34

2024-09-12 14:08:00 #StockMarket #BOE #Pound
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Pound under pressure from statistics
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The markets expect the actual effect of the first BOE bank rate cut in this cycle in a few months, but so far, the UK economic data does not allow the Pound to start growing despite the weakening of the dollar.
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The most negative surprise came from industrial production: the overall index fell by 0.8%, then leveled the growth of the previous month. The manufacturing sector, critical for the British economy, showed a decline of 1.0% MoM and 1.3% YoY.
⠀
Quite logically, the trade deficit grew – £20 bln vs. £18.9 bln in July. Expectations that falling energy prices would reduce this figure failed to materialize. The UK only had a larger monthly deficit in the first half of 2022.
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Employment statistics look positive and indicate an improvement in the overall situation in the labor market after the lockdowns of 2020 and the financial crisis of 2008. At the same time, wage growth continues to slow, but it was 4% higher in the three months from May to July than a year earlier.
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However, the weak data reinforces expectations of further policy easing. Although markets are waiting for the subsequent rate adjustment in November, the chance of such a decision as early as next Thursday is relatively high. As a rule, BOE prefers to start earlier and do less than to postpone the start and end up doing more. The stats reinforce downside risks for the Pound, but the medium-term trend is too dependent on US news and Fed policy.
⠀
So far, speculators have used the pullback to 1.3120 resistance for quick selling, and the redemption of bullish positions on growth attempts continues. A breakdown of the 1.3000-1.2950 zone will cause a fall to the large options zone at 1.2850 and below. A break of the 1.3150 zone is needed for an upward reversal, but there is no fundamental support for such a move in the market.
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Profits to y’all!

242 views11:08

2024-09-11 17:34:00 #worldnews #ECB #Fed
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ECB pre-market: but the dynamics are still vague
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Markets are confident that the ECB will cut rates again tomorrow. This allows European assets to remain positive even when politics and force majeure storm the market, and all global assets are colored in red. The unfavorable economic statistics of recent months have been the perfect backdrop for a monetary policy correction.
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Nevertheless, Lagarde says that lowering rates is necessary not because of economic problems but to give the regulator more room for maneuver. Investors have always liked this view of the future and now trust the ECB more than the Fed.
⠀
Just six months ago, analysts were trying to convince the market that the ECB would cut rates by 60-70 bps by the end of the year. This means that after tomorrow's correction, another one, and maybe two, may appear on the horizon. In any case, the pace of further cuts is still unclear, so short-term speculation cannot be avoided. Expectations of further easing in the US compared to Europe contribute to the weakening of the carry trade in EUR/USD, likely to support the Euro for at least a month.
⠀
The impact of tomorrow's meeting on current euro quotes will be limited, as the decision has already been factored into the price. It is unlikely that Lagarde will say something new at the press conference. We pay special attention to the updated economic forecasts, particularly the dynamics of inflation.
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If the ECB head does not hint at a rate cut in October, the markets will save their strength until the December meeting, until more data is available. The pressure of US statistics and Fed policy on EUR/USD dynamics can also be assessed only in the medium term.
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In any case, speculative trades are not recommended tomorrow – we need to give the Euro a chance to decide on its direction.
⠀
Profits to y’all!

1.6K views14:34

2024-08-23 14:08:00 #worldnews #Tether #USDT
⠀
Tether's expansion into the Arab world
⠀
Tether is launching a token pegged to the UAE dirham. This will help facilitate international trade and remittances, reduce transaction fees, and provide a hedge against currency fluctuations. The project aims to create optionality against the U.S. dollar as the dhikram becomes the most preferred currency as global trade shifts.
⠀
The asset will be launched in collaboration with local conglomerate Phoenix Group (PHX.AD), with Green Acorn Investments backing the initiative. The UAE's liquid reserves fully back each token. Licensing by the UAE Central Bank will take several months. The blockchain platform that will support the Arab stablecoin has not yet been selected.
⠀
Recall: The UAE aims to become a global center for the crypto industry as economic competition in the Gulf region intensifies. The UAE has been quick to authorize cryptocurrency payments in areas such as real estate and tuition fees, increase adoption rates and transaction volumes, and develop regulation of virtual assets in both the capital, Abu Dhabi, and Dubai. The new stablecoin intends to meet the growing demand for the Gulf currency and offer an alternative to the U.S. dollar.
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Previously, Tether also announced the launch of USDT on the Aptos blockchain and provided stablecoins pegged to EUR, CNY, MXN, and gold. This integration is part of an active expansion to make digital currency more accessible and valuable.
⠀
Incidentally, regulators have long warned of the market risks of adopting cryptoassets. They fear that growing stocks of stablecoins expose the broader financial system to more significant risks, and the U.S. says there could be a rapid outflow of funds if holders rush to exchange tokens back into traditional currencies.
⠀
So, are we getting our new wallets ready?
⠀
Profits to y’all!

56 views11:08

2024-08-05 14:08:00 #EconomicCalendar #worldnews #forexmarket
⠀
Target levels and forecast for the week 05.08. – 09.08.
⠀
The week will begin with geopolitical fears. Despite yesterday's weekend missile attack on Israel, Iran has not yet entered the war. A major attack on Israel is expected August 5-6.
⠀
There are no major economic reports. Pay attention to weekly jobless claims, but since another hurricane is hitting the US, this release may not be as telling. One more report will be decisive before the September meeting.
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Rhetoric will be necessary at the RBA meeting on Tuesday, and it is possible that the accompanying statement will not include any indication of a rate hike.
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Fed members in mass speeches will justify their inaction at the July 31 meeting: they again failed to adjust their inflation and rate forecasts. The market is unlikely to react to attempts to explain the failed NFP and reassure investors.
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China's PMI and trade balance data are essential for risk appetite.
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Recall the fundamental events that you need to pay attention to (GMT 0 time):
⠀
Tue, 06
Reports: Uber, Airbnb, Caterpillar
AUD: RBA Interest Rate Decision, Monetary Policy Statement (04:30)
GBP: PMI (08:30)
USD: Exports, Imports, Trade Balance (12:30); EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook (16:00); API Weekly Crude Oil Stock (20:30)
⠀
Wed, 07
Reports: Shopify, Robinhood, Disney
USD: Сrude Oil Inventories (+Cushing) (14:30)
⠀
Thu, 08
Reports: Paramount, Unity
CNY: Exports, Imports, Trade Balance (03:00)
USD: Initial Jobless Claims (12:30)
⠀
Fri, 09
CNY: CPI, PPI (01:30)
⠀
For more news − see Economic Calendar.
⠀
Profits to y’all!

170 views11:08

2024-07-18 14:08:00 #worldnews #Gold #CentralBanks
⠀
Rally continues: how to make money on active gold
⠀
Gold is hitting highs amid expectations of an interest rate correction, geopolitical risk, and speculative demand due to attempts by central banks to update strategic reserves.
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Instead of just buying and storing bullion, we suggest capitalizing on its momentum with stocks and ETFs.
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• Agnico Eagle Mines Limited (NYSE: AEM)
This Canadian company also has operations in Finland, Australia, and Mexico. Agnico Eagle Mines has paid dividends for 32 consecutive years, with a dividend yield of 2.14%. The company reported solid results for the first quarter (gross profit margin of 56.32%).
Medium-term target: $80-92.50.
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• Wheaton Precious Metals (NYSE: WPM)
Formerly known as Silver Wheaton, the company is based in Canada and sells gold and other precious metals. It has been paying dividends for 14 consecutive years, with a dividend yield of 1.05%. Q1 operating cash flow totaled $220 million, and net income exceeded $160 million. Actual price: $61.35.
Medium-term target: $80-81.50.
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• VanEck Gold Miners ETF (NYSE: GDX)
The solidly liquid exchange traded ETF tracks the NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index, which consists of gold mining stocks. It has a dividend yield of 1.38%, with annualized payouts ranging from $0.48-0.53 per share. The return over the past five years is as high as 7.19% and 15.30% over the past year.
Medium-term target: $42.80-43.50.
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• iShares MSCI Global Gold Miners ETF (NASDAQ: RING)
The fund includes shares of gold-related companies (Newmont, Barrick Gold, Kinross Gold Corp., etc.). Assets reach $508.9 million, and net investment costs are 0.39% per year (it is one of the cheapest ETFs in the sector). Shareholders receive a semi-annual dividend of $0.19, and the average yield is 1.26%.
Medium-term target: $34.80-35.50.
⠀
Let's behave reasonably, keep in mind the risks, and don't forget about political factors influencing gold.
⠀
Profits to y’all!

424 views11:08

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